An MSK Access field guide · 2026

Every health system has a map. The patients don't follow it.

Chronic musculoskeletal pain is one of the largest demand streams in American healthcare — and one of the leakiest. Scroll to follow a thousand patients through the system you think you run.

7 min scroll Every number sourced CMS ACCESS Model era
Golden-hour path splitting through a field — most trails drifting away from a distant hospital

Health systems think of themselves as the front door for musculoskeletal care. The patients, quietly and in enormous numbers, disagree.

1,000 patients via Google · urgent care · the ED YOUR SYSTEM clinics imaging OR therapy Retail & cash-pay PT Competitor ortho group Freestanding imaging Stopped seeking care REVENUE FOLLOWS THE PATIENTS $0M leaves the average system yearly · $200–500M, industry analyses
01 · The demand

A thousand patients develop chronic MSK pain.

Back, knee, hip, shoulder. The chronic conditions Medicare's ACCESS Model targets affect more than two-thirds of people with Medicare.

Source: CMS, 2026
02 · The front door you built

A minority arrive through your doors.

The rest start at Google, urgent care, a friend's advice — or the emergency department, at $1,389 a visit.

Source: Health Care Cost Institute, 2017
03 · The leak

Then the referrals leak. 55–65% leave the network.

Out-of-network PT, competitor groups, freestanding imaging. The average hospital loses 10–30% of revenue to leakage.

Source: industry referral-network analyses, 2025–26

And the leak is silent.

No event fires. No alert triggers. A patient simply doesn't come back — and the continuity, the outcome, and the dollars go with them. At 10–30% of revenue, that's $200–500M a year for an average system.

Keep scrolling — it reverses.
The scale of the leak

Musculoskeletal care isn't a service line. It's the biggest line item in American health spending.

$0
US spending on low back & neck pain in 2016 — the highest of any condition
IHME / JAMA (Dieleman et al., 2020)
0
of specialist referrals leave the originating network
Industry referral-network analyses, 2025–26
0
US emergency department visits driven by back problems each year
HCUP Statistical Brief
0
lower total low back pain costs with early, guideline-adherent physical therapy
Childs, Fritz et al., 2015

For a decade the answer was to buy more doors. In July 2026, Medicare built one — and pays for what walks through it.

The turn · CMS ACCESS Model · live July 2026

The map, redrawn — with the flow pointed home.

1

Patients enroll upstream in MSK Access — a digital-first Medicare benefit for chronic MSK pain, at no cost to eligible patients.

2

PT-backed protocols and a virtual care coach manage the months-long pattern the ED was never built for — measured by validated patient-reported outcomes.

3

Escalations route to partners. Imaging, injections, surgery — warm handoffs into the partner system, with co-management payments to the clinicians who share the care.

Patients enroll from home MSK ACCESS clinical team · HEP · care coach PARTNER SYSTEM escalation when needed escalation PRO data · co-management
The next front door is already open

Be the system
the map points to.

MSK Access is live for Medicare patients and growing nationwide. Health systems and orthopedic practices that partner become the escalation destination — with co-management revenue attached.

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